GOP Primary Could Become a Darwinian Struggle. } [post_type] => resources Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. } } padding: 2px; [update_menu_item_cache] => display: block; "[1][2][3], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. [3], 2010 display: none; [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. position: absolute; The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index - Google News. padding: 2px 0; This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[24]. top: 0px; margin: 0px 10px; This district's elasticity score was 1.07. [tb] => width: 40%; Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. margin-top: 0px; overflow: hidden; It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Slate, January 25, 2023, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, Slate, November 14, 2022, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, The Atlantic, November 2, 2022, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation, NBC News Think, November 1, 2022, The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, Slate, October 26, 2022 (with Nat Bach), The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation, Slate, August 23, 2022 (with Dahlia Lithwick), What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Slate, July 25, 2022, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear,Slate, June 30, 2022, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump,N.Y. Times, June 24, 2022, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024,Wash. Post, June 8, 2022, The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter,Slate, May 10, 2022, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. box-sizing: border-box; margin: 3px 0; The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. padding-bottom: 8px; ( .leg-hnt-leadership > div { } padding-bottom: 3px; } .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper .image-candidate-thumbnail { document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); .race_footer { With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. display: block; color: #6db24f; margin-right: 12px; flex: 0 0 175px; [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. } flex: 0 0 150px; July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. [nopaging] => [has_or_relation:protected] => .leg-hnt-leadership-title { The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. border: 1px solid #999; Goddard Media LLC | Privacy Policy, Political Wire is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC. [category__and] => Array For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our countrys shifting political landscape, allowing organizations to contextualize the policy work they are doing with the politics of a legislators district. James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. } This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. Why Are Republicans Going After Wokeness Instead of Going After Biden? [category_name] => ( .leg-infobox-hide { margin-top: 1em; All Rights Reserved. flex-direction: row; .votebox_legend .non_result_row { font-weight: 300; ", 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, The Republican Electoral College Advantage, Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI). The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of each district and state using presidential elections as a baseline. } WP_Query Object Greg Abbott (R) signed the map into law on October 25, 2021. Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2020, Click here to read our new election calling policy and vote total update schedule, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2018, Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2016, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2014, Texas' 30th Congressional District elections, 2012, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2010 census, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Texas%27_30th_Congressional_District&oldid=8987209, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. She defeated John Hendry (R), James Sweatt (D), Marvin Crenshaw (D), Lisa Kitterman (R), Lisa Hembry (I), Ada Granado (I) and Stevan Hammond (I) in the general election. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Davis L. Rev. ( Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. column-rule: 1px solid #aaa; [16] This map took effect for Texas' 2022 congressional elections. [6], 2004 width: 150px; The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. .results_row { Below is our 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score for all 435 districts. According to data from Daily Kos, voters in the redrawn 7th District supported Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R) 52.6% to 45.8% in the 2020 presidential election. This page was last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36. .leg-infobox-bold-text { }. ) . 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. background-color: #334aab; ( But Hes Still a Danger. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. [suppress_filters] => [menu_order] => 2020-23, 53 U.C. [1][2] .mw-content-ltr td.votebox-results-cell--text, padding-top: 5px; .results_table_container { margin-bottom: 5px; 1793 (2020), Nicholas Stephanopoulos, The Sweep of the Electoral Power (October 20, 2020). July 13, 2022, 7:27 am redistricting Dan Tokaji. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Ballotpedia features 395,432 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. display: inline; The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. } } [fields] => } * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. Engage advocates and drive targeted actions with grassroots advocacy software. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". [order] => DESC } A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. .results_row.winner { With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. [meta_query] => WP_Meta_Query Object } and Academic Affairs and ( .leg-hnt-toggle-text { On November 8, 1994, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Eric Williams in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 6, 2018. [update_post_term_cache] => 1 Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. } .results_row td { vertical-align: middle; background-color: #6db24f; .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { [meta_key] => ( padding-right: 2px; Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? 1521 (2018). This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. .votebox_bp_logo { Source. width: 50px; The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. The Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) is a measure of the partisan tendency of state legislative districts. } font-weight: bold; The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. She defeated Ron Bush (R) and Lance Flores (L) in the general election. [page_id] => 0 [update_post_meta_cache] => 1 ) Source1Source2. letter-spacing: 0.03em; } column-gap: 1em; position: absolute; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. [category__in] => Array } } Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. .inner_percentage.Republican { font-size: 20px; @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. text-align: center; .leg-hnt-district-number { The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. font-size: small; color: #fff; 8, 2022, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar. } In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. width: 100%; width: 100%; She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. 100% remote. text-align: center; These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. [no_found_rows] => top: -1px; } If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. Apply today! font-size: 110%; [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. flex-wrap: wrap; On November 5, 1996, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. ) line-height: 1.5em; [hour] => overflow-y: hidden; [attachment] => color: #f0a236; } .votebox-covid-disclaimer { padding-bottom: 5px; height: 22px; She defeated Kelly Rush (L) in the general election. border-bottom: 1px solid #aaa; width: 100%; ( } [23], FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." background: #4c4c4c; border-radius: 50%; In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. ) 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index. padding-bottom: 7px; width: 35px !important; } 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. ) float: left; ) Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. Track legislation, regulations, and conversation on Capitol Hill. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. font-weight: bold; left: -9999px; But Hes Still a Danger, Washington Post, Mar. ) overflow-x: scroll; If you are using a content blocker, check to see that you have not globally turned off Javascript. [monthnum] => 0 In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. float: right; position: relative; border-bottom: 1px solid grey; padding-top: 8px; This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally. The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. overflow-x: auto; Edward B. Foley, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism (May 10, 2021). .inner_percentage { .non_result_row { Available here, with maps for each congressional district and state. The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law .leg-hnt-section-title { There were no incumbents in this race. display: flex; At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. [table_aliases:protected] => Array } [18][19][20], Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. display: flex; The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). } color:white; ) In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. [comments_per_page] => 50 position: absolute; [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Raise more funds and disburse more strategically with the PAC solution used by more organizations to file with the FEC than any other software. .leg-infobox pre { Professor of Law, Harvard Law School, Ebersold Chair in Constitutional Law, The Ohio State UniversityView posts , Dean and Sol & Lillian Goldman Professor of Law, Yale Law SchoolView posts , Alfred M. Rankin Professor of Law at Yale Law School (on leave)View posts , Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law CenterView posts , Professor of Law at LMU Loyola Law School, Los AngelesView posts , Bouma Fellow in Law and Professor of Law, University of Iowa College of LawView posts , Professor of Law, The George Washington University Law SchoolView posts , James B. McClatchy Professor of Law, top: 2px; z-index:1; [year] => 0 } (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. .leg-hnt-district-container { Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. [m] => Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. [tag] => Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Hybrid Partisan Voting Index (hPVI) was developed for Wilkerson Public Affairs by Braedon Wilkerson in 2014. The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. [tag_id] => [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. .leg-hnt-leadership { Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. [embed] => Cook provided the following explanation of a sample PVI in its 2017 PVI summary: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r

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